Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama Prediction: Serie A Preview

Match preview

Chapecoense welcome Vasco da Gama in Brazil’s Serie A on 14 November 2026, with kick-off scheduled for 23:30 UTC. The hosts are looking to respond after a 2-1 defeat to Mirassol, while Vasco arrive after a Copa do Brasil tie against Palmeiras that was decided on penalties.

The teams drew 1-1 in their previous league meeting this season. Their recent head-to-head record is also marked by close margins, although Vasco have taken two wins from the six meetings covered by the available record.

Recent form and team analysis

Chapecoense’s latest league outing ended in defeat despite a 47% share of possession and 12 attempts, four of which were on target. Faria scored in the 12th minute, while Anderson’s own goal gave Mirassol a decisive advantage. Across their last six matches, Chapecoense have scored four goals and conceded 15, a run that points to concerns at both ends of the pitch.

Vasco’s most recent match was a 2-1 Copa do Brasil win over Palmeiras, with Facundo Colidio and José Luis Rodríguez scoring. The tie was settled by a penalty shootout, which Palmeiras won 4-5. Vasco had 54% possession and seven attempts, three on target, but their wider defensive record is a concern: they have conceded in each of their last six matches, letting in 12 goals overall.

Head-to-head record

The six most recent meetings listed, dating back to August 2018, produced two Vasco victories and four draws; Chapecoense did not win any of them. The matches contained 11 goals in total, an average of 1.83 per game.

Their Serie A meeting on 5 February 2026 finished 1-1. José Luis Rodríguez put Vasco ahead, and Carlos equalised for Chapecoense in the 91st minute. Vasco recorded 30 attempts to Chapecoense’s seven, though the result remained level.

Team news and line-ups

Chapecoense are without Maurício Garcez, Vinicius Balieiro, Carvalheira and Robert Santos, according to the available team information. Vasco da Gama are also expected to have reduced options, with Marino Hinestroza, Cauan Barros, Carlos Cuesta and Mateus Carvalho listed as unavailable.

No predicted formations or starting line-ups are provided, so the tactical shape and any further selection changes remain uncertain.

Tactical factors to watch

Chapecoense’s recent goals-against total makes defensive organisation a key concern, while their four goals across six matches suggest they may need to make limited chances count. Their latest match showed they can produce attempts, but the available figures do not establish how consistently they have converted those opportunities.

Vasco’s ability to create chances was evident in the earlier 1-1 league draw, when they registered 30 attempts. However, their recent run of conceding in six consecutive matches could offer Chapecoense a route to goal. The visitors also have a record of avoiding defeat in their last three league trips to Chapecoense, but that trend alone cannot settle the outcome.

Chapecoense vs Vasco da Gama score prediction

Prediction: Chapecoense 1-2 Vasco da Gama.

Vasco’s recent defensive record gives Chapecoense reason to expect a scoring opportunity, but the hosts’ low goal tally across their last six matches makes a high-scoring response difficult to assume. The head-to-head record also favours Vasco, with Chapecoense winless across the six meetings covered here.

A narrow away win is therefore a reasonable prediction, rather than a certainty. Chapecoense’s home performance and the visitors’ continuing defensive vulnerabilities remain potential sources of uncertainty.