Prediction: Iceland vs Luxembourg | Nations League

Match preview

Iceland welcome Luxembourg in the Nations League on 16 November. Kick-off time is not available in the supplied information. The hosts can secure first place in League C with a win, while Luxembourg are already certain to remain in the third tier.

Iceland have gathered 11 points from five matches in their first League C campaign after relegation from League B in 2024-25. Luxembourg, by contrast, are six points behind the top two and have lost each of their last four fixtures.

Iceland vs Luxembourg form analysis

Iceland’s campaign has gathered pace with consecutive 3-0 wins over Luxembourg and Bulgaria following a 1-1 draw with Estonia. They then drew 0-0 with Estonia before recording a 5-0 away victory over Bulgaria on Friday. The supplied preview also describes Iceland as having scored more than any other League C side and kept five successive clean sheets.

Andri Gudjohnsen scored a hat-trick in that latest win, with Orri Oskarsson also on the scoresheet and another goal coming from an own goal. Gudjohnsen leads the League C scoring chart with five goals. Iceland hold a two-point advantage over Estonia; victory would guarantee top spot, while a draw is described as likely to be enough given their goal-difference advantage.

Luxembourg began with a 2-1 victory over Bulgaria but have since suffered four consecutive defeats without scoring. Their latest setback was a 1-0 home loss to Estonia, leaving them one point behind Bulgaria in third. The preview notes that Luxembourg have won three of their last four away internationals, although their most recent trip ended in a 1-0 defeat by Estonia.

Head to head

Luxembourg beat Iceland 3-1 in a European Championship qualifier in September 2023, their second head-to-head win overall. They have yet to win away against Iceland, so a victory in this fixture would be a first. Earlier in the current Nations League campaign, Iceland defeated Luxembourg 3-0.

Team news and predicted line-ups

Iceland will be without Stefan Teitur Thordarson and Kristall Mani Ingason, who were forced off in the first half against Bulgaria. Hordur Magnusson replaced Thordarson but is suspended after receiving his second yellow card of the league phase. Iceland have called up Hjortur Hermannsson, Brynjar Ingi Bjarnason and Saevar Atli Magnusson.

For Luxembourg, Omar Natami is suspended after his second yellow card. Dirk Carlson is available again after suspension and is expected to come into central defence. Enes Mahmutovic and Enzo dos Santos are also competing for starting places after appearing from the bench against Estonia.

The supplied predicted line-ups are: Iceland — Valdimarsson; Palsson, Gunnarsson, Gretarsson, Tomasson; Ellertsson, Johannesson, Haraldsson, Sigurdsson; Oskarsson, Gudjohnsen. Luxembourg — Moris; Bohnert, Selimovic, Mahmutovic, Carlson; Olesen; V Thill, Dos Santos, Cruz, Kadamani; Dardari.

Tactical factors

Iceland’s recent scoring and run of clean sheets point to strength at both ends, while Gudjohnsen and Oskarsson give them clear attacking threats based on the latest result. Their home advantage is relevant, though the supplied data does not provide a specific home record.

Luxembourg’s four-match scoring drought is a concern against an Iceland side that has not conceded in its last five games, according to the preview. The visitors’ away record offers some counterweight, but their most recent away performance was a defeat and their forward output has been limited in recent fixtures.

Iceland vs Luxembourg score prediction

Prediction: Iceland 3-0 Luxembourg.

Iceland have the stronger recent results, a two-point cushion over Estonia and a chance to clinch first place. Their 5-0 win over Bulgaria, alongside five straight clean sheets, supports the expectation that they can control this match.

Luxembourg’s four consecutive defeats without a goal make an immediate attacking turnaround difficult to assume. A further Iceland win is a reasonable forecast, although the score remains uncertain.