Match preview
Prediction: Sweden vs Bosnia-Herzegovina | Nations League
Sweden host Bosnia-Herzegovina with promotion at stake in Nations League Group B4. See the team news, likely lineups and our 1-1 score prediction.
Match preview
Sweden welcome Bosnia-Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League, with first place in Group B4 and direct promotion to League A still in reach for both sides. Sweden lead on 10 points from four matches, while Bosnia-Herzegovina have eight; two group games remain.
A victory would bring the visitors level with Sweden, while the hosts can strengthen their position at the top. Sweden’s remaining fixtures are against Bosnia-Herzegovina and Poland on November 17, and the group’s second-placed team is set for the promotion playoffs rather than automatic promotion.
Sweden are seeking a return to League A for only the second time, having previously competed there in 2020-21. The stakes are clear, but the points gap means neither side can treat this meeting as decisive on its own.
Recent form and match context
Sweden began the campaign with wins over Romania and Poland, then drew 0-0 with Bosnia-Herzegovina in the reverse fixture. They most recently beat Romania 1-0, giving them three wins and one draw in the section.
Bosnia-Herzegovina have also avoided defeat in all four group matches. After a 0-0 draw with Poland, they beat Romania 4-2, shared a 1-1 draw with Sweden and then defeated Poland 1-0. Their record of two wins and two draws has kept them within two points of the leaders.
The previous meeting offers little to separate the teams: it ended level, and both arrive unbeaten in the group. Sweden’s place at the top gives them a points advantage, while Bosnia-Herzegovina have the opportunity to apply immediate pressure with a win.
Team news and predicted lineups
Alexander Isak and Victor Gyokeres are expected to start together for Sweden. Dejan Kulusevski has returned to the squad after regaining fitness and could be used from the bench. Alexander Bernhardsson is in line for his 19th cap, while Yasin Ayari may also start.
Bosnia-Herzegovina will be without Tarik Muharemovic through suspension. The visitors are otherwise reported to be in strong shape. Ermedin Demirovic and Haris Tabakovic are expected to feature in attack, while Sead Kolasinac is in line for his 74th cap. Edin Dzeko is not in the squad following his announcement of international retirement.
The listed projected teams are: Sweden — Johansson; Beijmo, Smith, Lindelof, Gudmudsson; Ayari, Karlstrom; Bernhardsson, Nanasi; Gyokeres, Isak. Bosnia-Herzegovina — Zlomislic; Smajlovic, Katic, Dedic, Kolasinac; Memic, Gigovic, Basic, Mahmic; Demirovic, Tabakovic.
Tactical factors and prediction
Sweden’s two expected starting forwards give them a direct attacking threat, while Bosnia-Herzegovina’s recent results suggest they have been able to compete steadily across the group. The available information does not provide detailed tactical or venue statistics, so the balance between their approaches remains difficult to assess with confidence.
The teams’ earlier draw and unbeaten group records point towards another close contest. Sweden’s home advantage may matter, but Bosnia-Herzegovina’s chance to draw level in the standings gives the visitors a strong incentive to take the game to their hosts.
Prediction: Sweden 1-1 Bosnia-Herzegovina. A draw would preserve Sweden’s two-point lead and reflect how difficult the sides have been to separate so far. It remains a forecast rather than a certainty, with both still having another group fixture to play.