Serbia vs Germany Prediction: Nations League Preview
Match preview
Serbia host Germany in the UEFA Nations League, with both sides needing a result for different reasons. Serbia have lost all four of their Group A2 matches and cannot finish in the top two, but a victory would keep alive their chance of taking third place ahead of Germany.
Germany sit three points behind both Greece and the Netherlands with two matches remaining. They need a strong finish to their campaign to retain a realistic prospect of reaching the quarter-finals.
Form and group situation
Serbia’s four defeats have included two 2-1 losses to the Netherlands, a 2-1 home defeat by Greece and a 2-0 loss to Germany. The national side have also lost their last six matches across all competitions and have won only once since the end of 2025, according to the available information.
Germany opened the group with a 1-1 draw against the Netherlands, then lost 1-0 at home to Greece. A 2-0 win over Serbia offered a response, but a goalless draw with Greece left them playing catch-up. Their record stands at one win, two draws and one defeat from four games.
Head to head
Serbia and Germany have met four times previously. Serbia have one win and one draw against two defeats; their victory came in the group stage of the 2010 World Cup. Germany won the sides’ earlier meeting in this Nations League group, 2-0.
Team news and expected line-ups
Serbia will be without Sasa Lukic and Nemanja Maksimovic through suspension. Aleksandar Mitrovic is in line for his 107th cap, with Mihajlo Cvetkovic also a possible forward partner. Sergej Milinkovic-Savic is expected to feature in midfield.
Germany goalkeeper Marc-Andre ter Stegen has been confirmed as the number one. Kai Havertz is expected to lead the attack, while Florian Wirtz, Said El Mala and Lennart Karl could all start. Philipp Treu, Malick Thiaw and Yann Bisseck are each one booking away from suspension for Germany’s final group fixture.
The supplied predicted line-ups list Serbia as: V Milinkovic-Savic; Nedeljkovic, Gudelj, Babic, Erakovic, Sukacev; Samardzic, S Milinkovic-Savic, Zivkovic; Cvetkovic, Mitrovic. Germany’s listed XI is: Ter Stegen; Treu, Tah, Schlotterbeck, Brown; Nmecha, Kimmich; El Mala, Wirtz, Karl; Havertz. These are projected selections, not confirmed starting teams.
Tactical factors
Serbia’s suspensions remove two midfield options, while the expected presence of Sergej Milinkovic-Savic gives them a potential focal point in the centre of the pitch. Mitrovic’s role alongside Cvetkovic could be important if the hosts are to turn their need for a win into attacking pressure.
Germany have already beaten Serbia in this group and arrive with the greater recent result in this matchup. However, their draws against the Netherlands and Greece, plus the defeat by Greece, show that points have not come consistently. The visitors must balance the need to win with the importance of avoiding another setback in a tight qualification race.
Serbia vs Germany score prediction
Prediction: Serbia 1-2 Germany.
Serbia’s record makes them difficult to back confidently, even with the incentive of a potential third-place finish. Germany have also been inconsistent, but their 2-0 victory in the previous meeting provides a relevant indication of their ability to trouble the hosts.
A narrow away win is the forecast, though the available form and group context do not make the result certain. Germany need the points to keep their quarter-final hopes alive, while Serbia have their own reason to press for victory.