Prediction: Latvia vs Armenia | Nations League

Match preview

Latvia host Armenia in the Nations League on 15 November 2026. Kick-off time is not available in the supplied information.

The hosts have taken one point from five fixtures and are certain to finish bottom. They will nevertheless want to avoid ending the campaign without a win. Armenia sit third and cannot move above second-placed Cyprus, but will look to close their Nations League schedule with another positive result.

Form and recent context

Latvia have shown some attacking improvement, scoring in each of their last three matches after drawing blanks in their opening two. However, they have conceded twice in each of those three games, and their campaign has yet to produce a victory.

Armenia beat Latvia 2-0 in September, with Georgiy Harutyunyan and Artur Gharibyan scoring on either side of half-time. That remains their most recent win: Yeghishe Melikyan’s team have since recorded two defeats and two draws, although they are unbeaten in their last two matches after back-to-back draws.

Head-to-head record

Armenia have won four of the last five meetings, including the most recent three. They have scored at least twice in each of those four wins; the exception in the sequence was Latvia’s 2-0 victory in October 2023.

The recent record favours the visitors, but it does not guarantee a repeat. Latvia’s run of scoring in three consecutive matches gives them a possible route to trouble Armenia, even as their defensive record remains a concern.

Team news and predicted line-ups

The supplied predicted line-ups list Matrevics in goal for Latvia, with Jurkovskis, Melniks, Cernomordijs, Vientiess and Cirkin in defence. Daskevics, Vapne, Zelenkovs and Ciganiks are named in midfield, with Uldrikis up front.

Armenia’s predicted XI is Mishiev; Bandikyan, Harutyunyan, Mkrtchyan and Tiknizyan; Hovhannisyan and Iwu; Grigoryan, Serobyan and Shaghoyan; Gharibyan. The information provided does not specify injuries or suspensions, so their availability cannot be confirmed.

Tactical factors

Latvia’s recent goals suggest they may be able to create chances, but conceding twice in each of their last three matches points to a continuing need for greater defensive control. Their predicted wide options, including Ciganiks and Daskevics, could help supply Uldrikis in attack.

For Armenia, Gharibyan is a notable threat: he scored in the reverse fixture and also found the net against Cyprus earlier in the week. The visitors’ head-to-head advantage and Latvia’s defensive record make Armenia’s ability to convert chances a central factor, though their own recent sequence has brought draws rather than wins.

Prediction: Latvia vs Armenia

Predicted score: Latvia 1-2 Armenia.

Latvia’s recent scoring gives the hosts a credible chance of getting on the scoresheet, but their repeated concessions make a clean defensive performance difficult to assume. Armenia have already beaten them this campaign and have a strong recent record in this fixture.

The visitors have not won since that September meeting, so another victory is not certain. Still, their attacking history against Latvia and Gharibyan’s recent contributions make a narrow Armenia win a reasonable prediction.